Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.030833 0.035789 0.041291 0.047852 0.055464 0.064023 0.074381
2025-12-14 0.022260 0.028516 0.036170 0.046229 0.059113 0.075084 0.096421
2025-12-21 0.017267 0.023851 0.032528 0.044811 0.061784 0.084460 0.117146
2025-12-28 0.014653 0.021531 0.031165 0.045666 0.066992 0.097295 0.143806
2026-01-04 0.012573 0.019484 0.029687 0.045875 0.070998 0.108651 0.169660
2026-01-11 0.010948 0.017787 0.028366 0.045960 0.074605 0.119624 0.196187
2026-01-18 0.009772 0.016574 0.027554 0.046613 0.079029 0.132227 0.226790
2026-01-25 0.008911 0.015727 0.027170 0.047834 0.084431 0.146948 0.262724
2026-02-01 0.007742 0.014176 0.025378 0.046365 0.084955 0.153373 0.284998
2026-02-08 0.006933 0.013144 0.024334 0.046038 0.087386 0.163318 0.314754
2026-02-15 0.006224 0.012194 0.023305 0.045575 0.089448 0.172747 0.344648
2026-02-22 0.005760 0.011646 0.022944 0.046311 0.093848 0.187024 0.385702
2026-03-01 0.005193 0.010829 0.021987 0.045792 0.095784 0.196919 0.419683
2026-03-08 0.004618 0.009925 0.020746 0.044538 0.096065 0.203544 0.447846
2026-03-15 0.004113 0.009098 0.019558 0.043232 0.096048 0.209510 0.475353
2026-03-22 0.003855 0.008771 0.019377 0.044069 0.100771 0.226136 0.528693
2026-03-29 0.003573 0.008351 0.018940 0.044273 0.104091 0.240061 0.577724
2026-04-05 0.003310 0.007943 0.018479 0.044356 0.107130 0.253702 0.627911
2026-04-12 0.003112 0.007659 0.018263 0.044986 0.111537 0.271046 0.689423
2026-04-19 0.002965 0.007481 0.018275 0.046164 0.117425 0.292635 0.764478
2026-04-26 0.002677 0.006917 0.017292 0.044747 0.116642 0.297786 0.798088
2026-05-03 0.002479 0.006557 0.016768 0.044432 0.118639 0.310152 0.852390
2026-05-10 0.002293 0.006205 0.016220 0.043984 0.120231 0.321667 0.905984